Roy Hodgson's been at the poker table too long to risk his money on the kind of gambles that did for Lawrie Sanchez.
The latest Fulham boss proved it this summer by lashing out the best part of s20million in transfer fees on sure bets, while recovering just £150k on the 12 shown the door.
Fulham have a stronger squad than last year when Sanch hoped Championship players would step up to the plate - there's no doubt of it. But the more one looks at it - the more one thinks success will depend on three players.
Woe is us if Andy Johnson, Bobby Zamora and Mark Schwarzer succumb to early injuries.
The whole Fulham bedrock of mid-table stability is based on these established talents, but I'm not totally sold on the rest of the Cottage structure.
I remind one-and-all of that freak injury to Brian McBride early on in the last campaign, and wonder what's next if Hodge belts the same black cat as his predecessor?
New £2m right back Fredrik Stoor will have to hit the ground at a faster pace than his Nordic brethren did last January.
The Swede could be a major hit at the Cottage, but even the most biased in black-and-white would hardly claim the same for Messrs Hangeland, Nevland, Andreasen and Litmanen.
Zoltan Gera has been here before with WBA and should make more of an impact. The winger's first Premiership season with Albion was a major reason for their last-day survival in 2005. Injury to the Hungarian in the second campaign saw the Baggies deposed.
The rest of the squad are basically the same that depended on Danny Murphy's header at Portsmouth in May to keep them in the top flight.
A fit Jimmy Bullard from the off will make a big difference, however, but apart from his free-kicks, goals from other areas might be hard to come by.
Let's hope AJ's knee is indeed as strong as the £10m that rides on it.